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Auour Insights

Monthly Thoughts from the Auour Investment Team
Inflation is always caused by an imbalance between supply and demand. And that imbalance is almost always due to the actions of government bodies. (Well, we think it’s almost always, but we are not certain.) The oil market is a great example. A tight supply situation was exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Prior to...
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Geopolitical events, especially wars, bring incredible destruction to those directly involved, and unfortunately, the impact will be felt for many years or decades. For global investment markets, though, the empirical evidence suggests that the impact may be short-lived. The investment bank, Mizuho, has published a look back at the larger military events since WWII with...
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Inflation is on everyone’s mind and energy pricing has been a significant contributor. We have been discussing our concern that inflation has taken on a more structural ‘feel’ versus being transitory from the pandemic re-opening process. Supporting this argument is the impact from an aggressive move to renewable energy as demonstrated by Germany. The graphic...
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A Monthly View into (Au)our Thinking

Newsletters

The Gambling Habits of the Capuchin Monkey

Behavioral economics is a well researched field of study and one we find important as it pertains to acting as a fiduciary and a steward of capital.  In this newsletter, we reflect on recent research into this topic and attempt to blend it with recent market actions hitting the globe as we speak.   Monkey...
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A Momentous Mistake?

Determining the characteristics of superior investing is not a new idea. We hazard a guess that since the first dollar went into the public markets, individuals have spent considerable effort determining short cuts and tricks to identify the items that drive outperformance. Within the modern investment world, both academic and industry attention has been focused...
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Confidence Without Conviction

“Equity investing is about what could happen, not what has” – Michael Goldstein We have highlighted on many occasions the three facets of investing that most impact performance: market participation, asset allocation, and cost.  We can further segment costs into three areas: Direct costs of management fees and investment vehicle fees that we attempt to...
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Old Habits Die Hard

“A person saving for retirement who chooses low-cost investments could have a standard of living throughout retirement more than 20% higher than that of a comparable investor in high-cost investments.”   – William Sharpe Mutual funds that rely on stock-based investing where once a great idea. However, this investment vehicle’s time has come and gone. Their...
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Monsters and Shadows

“And the wild things roared their terrible roars and gnashed their terrible teeth and rolled their terrible eyes and showed their terrible claws.”   – Where the Wild Things Are Inflation, and our fear of it, is a highly debated topic these days.  It is worthy of attention given the role it plays in our economy....
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Frog Stew

“The boiling frog story is a wide spread anecdote describing a frog slowly being boiled alive. The premise is that if a frog is placed in boiling water, it will jump out, but if it is placed in cold water that is slowly heated, it will not perceive the danger and will be cooked to...
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