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Auour Insights

Monthly Thoughts from the Auour Investment Team
Inflation is always caused by an imbalance between supply and demand. And that imbalance is almost always due to the actions of government bodies. (Well, we think it’s almost always, but we are not certain.) The oil market is a great example. A tight supply situation was exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Prior to...
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Geopolitical events, especially wars, bring incredible destruction to those directly involved, and unfortunately, the impact will be felt for many years or decades. For global investment markets, though, the empirical evidence suggests that the impact may be short-lived. The investment bank, Mizuho, has published a look back at the larger military events since WWII with...
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Inflation is on everyone’s mind and energy pricing has been a significant contributor. We have been discussing our concern that inflation has taken on a more structural ‘feel’ versus being transitory from the pandemic re-opening process. Supporting this argument is the impact from an aggressive move to renewable energy as demonstrated by Germany. The graphic...
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A Monthly View into (Au)our Thinking

Newsletters

A Discussion of the February 2018 Volatility Spike

Last Friday, we hosted Colin Ireland, Senior Research Strategist of State Street Global Advisors, to discuss his observations of the volatility experienced by global markets at the beginning of February. [download id=”2881″]
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An Update from Auour

The last week has been a very quick reversal of a nearly 14-month upswing in the global markets. Yesterday, in particular, was a wake-up call that markets are not always tame and conducive to making money. We offer below some answers to questions we have received and hope that they help. We continue to monitor...
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Auour 2018 Outlook

A year ago, we wrote that all we wanted for Christmas was a bull market.  Thank you, Santa!  We thought we had been good but never thought we were that good. The 4th quarter continued the trend that existed all year with markets ending on a strong note.  For the first time since 2012, international...
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Mind the Gap

This is a phrase we heard a lot on our last visit to London. Though repeated as the subway doors open, it brings other ideas to us. Specifically, the gap between the expectations of some investors and what turns out to be the reality. All bubbles eventually “pop” (or at least deflate). Among other issues...
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The Largest Game of Jenga Ever

We like games, but not all games. Some make us tense such as the Hasbro game named Operation. As a child growing up in a warm and nurturing environment, hearing the BUZZ as you touched the side not only scared you, but risked driving you to tears. We believed we could have killed someone if...
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Waiting for the Next Domino to Fall

The Quarter in Review The quote used in our 1st quarter report was “It is best to rise from life as from a banquet, neither thirsty nor drunken.”  We have been investing in accordance with that quote and maintaining a near fully invested stance yet conscious of the growing optimism witnessed in the world markets. ...
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